June 2008

The Nationals Report – Part 1

 Okay, so over the past three and a half seasons I have gone to over 100 Nationals games.  I have interacted with basically every player who’s made a stop in the District.  I have to say, although I can never truly prove it, I think the Nationals are above-average in niceness.  There some not so friendly players, but for the most part, if you go to enough games, you can see the good side come out in basically everybody.   In fact, there are only two players on the Nationals who I don’t have the autograph of.   And the only pitcher who has come out of the bullpen, who has not signed my cap is Ray King, who was with the Nationals for less than a year.  I call that cap “The Bullpen Cap”.  So I will run through almost every player who has played on the Nationals and give a report about how appreciative they are of the fans and give them a grade.

    Winston Abreu – He didn’t spend much time with them, but I will remember how he risked being late to the bullpen to sign my cap         A
    Jonathan Albaladejo – He was a bit quiet but was appreciative to fans and signed almost every game.  One of the few players on the Yankees I root for     A
    Luis Ayala – Along with playing baseball soccer with Saul Rivera during every game, Luis is just a fun guy to be around and signs every game          A+
    Mike Bacsik – Bacsik went from the rotation to the pen and back a lot during 2007 and is basically being forgotten about down in Triple-A in 2008.  He talked with fans a lot and would give an autograph to who ever asked.     A
    Ronnie Belliard – He has been with the Nationals for over a year and not only have I never seen him sign at a game, but not even after the game in the parking lot after fans wait an hour in the hot sun.  Pena and him are the only players I don’t have, but I have seen Pena be nice to fans and give occasional autographs, plus he has been in D.C. for less time than Belliard.  Time is running out for Belliard to get his grade up     D-
    Jason Bergmann – He his just a guy who you need to root for.  His positions have changed, he has had extreme ups and downs, but he is nice and signs a lot   A+
    Tony Blanco – I truthfully don’t have too many memories of Tony, he received very little playing time in 2005, and has been in the minors since, but it’s amazing is still in the organization. 
Actually, I only have one memory of Blanco. I was standing around in RFK, and he just comes up, nicely signs by baseball and we chat for a while.      A
    Chris Booker – Booker’s call up in 2006 was so short the clubhouse attendant couldn’t finish steaming the second O in his jersey.  Perhaps it was a bit longer, but in any case I got his autograph on my cap      A
    Aaron Boone – I haven’t really had any interaction with him since I met him at a Health Convention in February, but he was nice and he signed my card     A
    Bill Bray – Not only did he sign by cap but he also signed a baseball card I sent through the mail      A+
    Jamey Carroll – One of my favorite players of a all-time.  He signed EVERY single game for at least 20 minutes.  That wouldn’t be that impressive for a pitcher but he’s an infielder, and he was always the first at the ballpark and he did all of that I found out later, with his mother sick, and she eventually passed away at the end of the 2005 season, the same off-season he got traded to Rockies for the minimum salary.  That will always be one of the worst moves Jim Bowden’s ever made, especially since Frank Robinson told him not to.  It’s almost irrelevant that in 2007 with the Rockies, Jamey hit .300      A++++++
    Matt Chico – It’s pretty easy to tell he’s quiet but he still signs everyday in the parking lot      A
    Jesus Colome – He’s part of the pack I see every game, and he also signs a lot, but not quite as much as everybody else.      A
Chad Cordero – Cordero, I considered on of the nicest players in 2005, but he has regressed slightly, and has stopped giving autographs during the game (when I say this I don’t mean literally during the game but rather before)  Cordero has given me at least three autographs and 2 balls, but the regression is noticeable       B+
Zach Day – I don’t own any vivid memories of Day except for liking him for being nice and I have numerous autographs of him         A-
Ross Detwiler – When Ross Detwiler got called up I made it my mission to get his autograph.  I was denied the first time I asked him, but it was as nice a deny you can give.  He said”I’m really sorry, I can’t do it right now”  Because I was actually a veteran of more big league games then him I actually knew he had time to run over quickly but I get that he was worried he didn’t have enough time.  I got his sig the day later.      A
Elijah Dukes – I have to say, I didn’t know what to expect with Dukes coming in to 2008 with all the issues he’s had in the past, but he seems really appreciative to the fans, throws a lot of balls into the stands including one to me and gives autographs a plenty        A
Robert Fick – Fick always acted sort of strange and was quiet in a bad way.  Fick basically never  spoke, and never gave out any balls or autographs, but I heard that he was dealing with family issues so maybe that, and the fact he struggled to reach the Mendoza Line is the reason for his attitude.        C-
Jesus Flores – Flores is one of the fews catcher to squeeze in time to sign autographs while he is stretching with his starting pitcher         B+
Jose Guillen – Jose was just awesome, he signed a lot and although Austin Kearns may be a little better about giving out balls, Guillen was very nice, especially when we saw him in his street clothes walking into the stadium, while I was at a clinic.
Christian Guzman – Infielders are probably the position you interact with the least so Guzman is tough to grade, but I see him throw out balls occasionally and he gives autographs after the game in the parking lot       B+
Joel Hanrahan – He signs basically every game and has given me a ball too       A
Willie Harris – Harris acts sort of cool and he said hello to me but he’s nevertheless stingy with his baseballs and rarely signs     C+
Livan Hernandez – Hernandez signed a lot, but he had a sollen attitude and wasn’t very interactive     B
Shawn Hill – Just recently when I asked Hill for a ball he said “Sure, no problem, here you go” so I have a good last impression, I don’t have his autograph but for starting pitchers there isn’t much oppurtunity    A
D’Angelo Jimenez – Jimenez was very sociable while he signed in the parking lot     A
Nick Johnson – An original member of the team, Johnson has always been nice, although his autograph tendencies have gone down he still is a nice guy      A-
Austin Kearns – I’ll just let it be simple: Nobody has thrown me more balls than Austin Kearns AND I have his autog
raph.  Kearns has thrown to me from the side of the field and from the upper deck.  YES      A+++++++++
John Lannan – Lannan isn’t the best when it comes to tossing up balls, but he will do it once in a while.  The best thing about Lannan is how much he signs       B-
Matthew LeCroy – Although he has never given me an autograph or baseball, his good humor still rubbed off on me, and he was very funny       B+
Paul Lo Duca – I never thought he was going to be very nice, but surprisingly, he has been, very, so far one ball and an autograph, very nice and socialable to the fans so far       A
Nook Logan – Ahh, Nook, Well, the good news:  He once gave me an autograph.    The bad news:  He despised signing in his car in the parking lot, and was always hanging out for everyone to leave to come out.  I’m sorry Mr. Logan, you may not like giving out autographs when I’d like to just leave, but you’re not exactly everyone’s favorite player nor are you the type of player that people stand in 93 degree weather in the side of a parking lot for 2 and a half hours to get.    B
Felipe Lopez – Although, oddly enough I don’t recall Felipe signing anytime inside a stadium, he has signed every time in the parking lot, so I like him     A-
Rob Mackowiak -  I thruthfully only had one interaction with Rob, he was shagging fly balls during BP, a ball rolled near the fence, I asked him for it, viola, so a thumbs up from me    A-
Gary Majewski – Majewski was always nice to fans, but I never really experienced it first hand, until spring training this March when I saw him as a Red in their minor league complex in Sarasota.  He was very nice and graciously signed my card         A
Charlie Manning – Although I wasn’t letting him not sign my cap no matter what ( I have gotten every single Nats reliever on my Nats cap, except Ray King)  I was still grateful that he did.  He has been neglectful with balls in BP though      A-
Lastings Milledge – Milledge has been one of the best with balls so far and gave me an autograph my first game at NP.  The signing was captured on MASN, so it was prolonged and he smiled and gave a dramatic giving-back of the ball.  Hehehe          A
Arnie Munoz – hMunoz was pretty quiet and slightly stingy with balls but he signed frequently and hancock’d my cap         B+
Wil Nieves – When you see him around the game, he seems really nice although he has yet to sign.  To his credit I have seen give out some balls      B
Michael O’Connor – He signed my cap although I was pretty far up in the stands, so I don’t forget that little fact that scares away some players from signing     A-
John Patterson – I’m not positively sure why, for about three years, I considered Patterson one of my favorite players.  He was the first Nationals autograph I ever got, way back in 2005, and yes, it seemed like every time time I went to RFK, he started, and yes, he was good, but he never did anything extraordinary in terms of being nice    A-
Wily Mo Pena – Wily Mo has never given me an autograph or ball, he still has time to get on my good list though,  or does he?  Look at his stats – Ugh
Beltran Perez – A couple weeks back I attended a game in Bowie (AA game) and got Beltran Perez (Double-A Harrisburg)  to sign my program.  Yeah, Perez was pretty good as a young pitcher in 2006.  Weird how the organization has just turned their back on him????????     B+
Darrell Rasner – He would have been the ace on the Nats, if he wasn’t placed on waivers, at least I got his signature before he left for richer pastures        A
Jon Rauch – It may be just me, but it seems like Rauch is separated from the rest of the bullpen.  He doesn’t participate in the pitcher’s fielding drills, nor does he come put with the rest of the bullpen before the game.  Rauch has thrown me three balls and an autograph, but he has gotten a bit less friendly, as he gets older.  He’s probably the most disliked figure in the Nationals Park ball-snagging community, although I think I like him a bit more than everyone else, I see why they can get ticked off     B
Tim Redding – About a month ago, when I asked Tim if he could toss me a ball he asked “How many do you have so far”  I couldn’t decide if he meant so far that day, or this season so I just said five, believable for either scenario.  He nodded his head and through the ball up.  It has some movement, for I asked him what pitch it was he said “Splitter”  Cool.  I still don’t have his sig       B
Saauuuuuuuul Rivera – That is the only way I can say his name.  Saauuuuuuuuul  is just the man.  He signs EVERY, EVERY day before the game and has thrown me eight, 8, ocho, VII balls.    He’s just The man.  His grade?  Well, whatdayu think?     A+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Brian Sanches – Sanches is extremely stingy with balls but very good about giving autographs, sooo          B
Brian Schneider – Schneider  was very plentiful with balls, and I got six from him in one season.   He also signed every game he didn’t play.  You will be missed      A+
Chris Schroder – It’s definitely a challenge to get Schroeder’s sig, although I have met the challenge.   Because of whatever Jim Bowden has against Chris, I haven’t had enough experience with him to just how well he is with balls         B-
Steven Shell – Shell is the newest addition to the Nats bullpen which means I needed him to sign my cap, I even predicted the spot on the cap where he was going to sign, without instructing him.  Two words: Spot On.  He seemed nice when signing but the impression during BP was less flattering       B+
Jason Simontacchi – Simontacchi was just the guy Jim Bowden loves, a pitcher in their early 30′s who has had some experience but never really did much.  Anyway, Jason was a funny guy who usually would sign if you asked him to.  He made some funny jokes, and some that were not funny, but he overall was a good guy       A
Alfonso Soriano – I have heard of plenty of fans who got Soriano’s autograph in 2006, but there are always going to be people that get it when a player is in a city for a year.  The truth was Soriano didn’t sign very much, and I never got him            C
Billy Traber – Traber, like many so-so journeymen relievers, was a character.  He created many dances, and the rest of the bullpen danced with him.  Traber was a generous signer and a fun guy.  I hope he and Albaladejo continue dancing in the Bronx.  Can you picture Jose Veras doing the Cotton Eye Joe hillbilly dance?
Jose Vidro – He was awesome to fans in the first two years before being traded across the country for some guys named Snelling and Fruto.        A-
Ryan Wagner – Wagner wasn’t especially socialable to the fans but who really cares if he signs every game?       A-
Brandon
Watson –
Watson signed more games than he didn’t, which is especially impressive for a position player.  A very nice player who was always treated unfairly.     A-
Brad Wilkerson – Brad Wilkerson, the face of the 2004 Expos was very well-liked in his lone year in Washington, and I got him in my first game that I went early to, but he didn’t sign very often and was tough to get         B-
Dmitri Young – I didn’t like Young because well, I didn’t have his autograph and he never stopped in his car the days I waited in the parking lot but I ended up getting him the last game of the season, so he has a check in my book        B
Ryan Zimmerman -  Zimmerman, although about 80%  of everyone’s favorite player, isn’t very well-liked for the serious memorabilia collectors in Washington.  The main point against Zimmerman is he’s very quiet and doesn’t really talk to fans while he signs.  But hey!, he signs and isn’t that what the point is for the serious collectors.  I think of Ryan like Chase Utley, an extremely popular player, who young women gush over (to my annoyance) but are very quiet.  The difference between Utley and Zimmerman?  Zimmerman signs, Utley doesn’t.         A-

Dane Sardinha Recalled

 OK, this is a really short post, and I’m sure 99.5% of anyone reading this post will not care the slightest but I had to vent my thoughts on the transaction the Tigers made Wednesday.  Okay, so Brandon Inge was placed on the 15-day DL by the Tigers.  Inge was platooning with Pudge Rodriguez at catcher for the Tigers and also playing third base and left field.  Inge was not a full-fledged starter but was getting a good number of at-bats.  So, with Inge hurt, the Tigers had to call up somebody, obviously that somebody was going to be a catcher to at least back-up Rodriguez behind the plate.  This is what AAA is used for.  When somebody gets injured for two weeks and you need a back up just make a call down to AAA and get somebody the manager recommends.  So in this case, the starter in Toledo got the call – Dane Sardinha.  Only one thing, Sardinha has .242 .OBP!!! Are you kidding me?  Are you telling me that you chose Dane Sardinha, who has .242 .OBP and a .255 .OBP last year, over Max St. Pierre who has a modest .333 .OBP, but heck, way better than Sardinha.  And the Tigers can’t use “power” as an excuse.  St. Pierre has the same numbers of home runs than Sardinha in less at-bats.  I said it at the beginning on the post, who really cares?, but hey this was a stupid move and I have to let everyone (the three people who will ever read this) know.                                                     
Dane.jpg
Dane Sardinha                                                                                       

Dane Sardinha.jpg                                                      Max St. Pierre

       
Max St. Pierre.gif                                        

Them Pirates…..

    Dave Littlefield, former GM of the pitiful Pirates, is widely held responsible for the woe that is currently the Pirates.  Rajai Davis to the Giants for Matt(I’ll make you forget the overatedness of Jason Giambi when you see my salary) Morris?  Yeah that trade was bad.  Drafting Brian Bullington first overall instead of B.J. Upton, Scott Kazmir, Cole Hamels, or Jeff Franceour.  Even worse.  But hey, the Pirates aren’t completely screwed (see Giants).  In fact the Pirates actually have a nice problem in their outfield situation. 
   
    From a quick glance the Pirates outfield looks set for a while.  With Bay(29) in left, McLouth(26) in center, and Nady(29) in right, the Bucs look like their outfield is the one component of their team which they don’t need to focus on.  But in fact the outfield situation is probably the area of the Pirates Neil Huntington (GM of Pirates) needs to focus on the most.  The Pirates have Andrew McCutchen and Steven Pearce in AAA. 
   
    The case with Andrew McCutchen(pictured left)is simple, next year he will be the starting center fielder in Pittsburgh.  3zARcaIW.jpgSteven Pearce is a bit more difficult to predict because he has the ability to play left field, right field, and first base.  Obviously, all three of those positions are already occupied well in Pittsburgh by Jason Bay, Xavier Nady, and Adam LaRoche respectively.  Let me first start off by saying, although it doesn’t mean absolutely anything, the Adam LaRoche for Mike Gonzalez trade was horrible.  Adam LaRoche.jpgMike Gonzalez was, if not the best, one of the best closers in baseball, and why Bobby Cox put Bob Wickman in the closer spot over Gonzalez is another story.  Adam LaRoche for a top-notch closer?  Perhaps the Pirates could trade away LaRoche for a shortstop or third baseman. 
   
    In fact if I was GM, I would have traded Freddy Sanchez to the Rockies during the off season and gotten Ian Stewart(Third baseman) and Taylor Buchholz(reliever).  But that’s not going to happen, because #1. Freddy Sanchez.jpgFreddy Sanchez is horrible this year(.262 OBP, ugh) and #2. Buchholz has been dominant this year, even better than I thought he was going to be. In case you’re wondering, yes, I did, in my mind, set up this trade during the off season.  I’m not making it up right now because Sanchez is sucking and Buchholz is awesome.  Anyway let’s stop talking about if I was GM and start talking about what Neil Huntington should do. 
   
    I can’t lie to myself, Steven Pearce has been a huge disappointment in Indianapolis(AAA).  His numbers aren’t that bad, but (as I’m sure Steven knows) he really needs to play like he did last year in order for Huntington to consider either trading him or Bay, McLouth or Nady away.  Steven Pearce.jpgPearce had a good September call up last year, and really just blasted his way through every level of the Pirates from A+ to The Show.  A .321 OBP and nine home runs through 71 games in Triple A is not going to cut it.  You wonder why?  Not only was Steven Pearce good in Indianapolis last season, but he was good in Majors, and the only reason he didn’t start in the majors this year is, unfortunately for him, the outfield is the strongest component of the Bucs.  

    Nate McLouth in a perfect world is a right fielder.  A starting right fielder?  For now, I say yes but that could change.  The high OBP isn’t as surprising as the power numbers
 to me.  Nate McLouth.jpgHis OBP has been increasing every year as he becomes a more polished player.  The power perplexes me, and that isn’t a good thing.  Usually when something is perplexing to many people it isn’t a good sign for the future.  Or could it be as simple as playing everyday, Nate’s swing has developed and that is the reason why the once 14-homers-a-season guy has turned into a 32-homers-a-season guy. 

    If the Pirates should have Andrew McCutchen in center and Nate McLouth in right, then that leaves the question of who do you trade?  Jason Bay or Xavier Nady?  It would have been a no brainer a couple of years ago, but both are 29 years old and Bay maybe has more of an upside but Bay’s been playing worse every year since 2005.  Nady since becoming a full fledged starter since being traded for Oliver Perez, has been getting considerably better.  A GM’s gut may still tell him to take Bay, but let’s just compare stats since 2004.

Jason bay.jpg

Jason Bay    Age:29      2008 Salary: $6 million
                          G       AB        H       HR   RBI      BB      SO     SB   CS  OBP     SLG

2004 PIT 120 411 116 26 82 41 129 4 6 .358 .550
2005 PIT 162 599 183 32 101 95 142 21 1 .402 .559
2006 PIT 159 570 163 35 109 102 156 11 2 .396 .532
2007 PIT 145 538 133 21 84 59 141 4 1 .327 .418
2008 PIT 74 269 76 15 40 49 60 6 0 .393 .524

5teURu24.jpg

Xavier Nady   Age:29      2008 Salary: $3,350,000

Year   Team       G      AB      H      HR      RBI      BB   SO   SB   CS   .OBP   .SLG
2004   SD          34     77       19      3         9         5      13    0      0     .321     .416
2005   SD          124   326      99     13       43        22    67    2      1     .301     .439
2006   NYM-PIT 130   468     131     17       63        30    85    3      3     .337     .453
2007   PIT         125   431     120     20       72        23   101   3      1     .330      .476 
2008   PIT          66    245      77      10      49         21   43     1      0     .376     .510

     Salary is another interesting factor in this discussion.  There is no clear cut answer on who’s the better player, so you may just take the guy who makes over $2 million less.  If I’m the GM of another team looking to make a deal with Pittsburgh, I would rather acquire Nady, even if I thought Bay was the slightly better player, which I do. 

    Another issue the Pirates need to address is why they are not trading away Jack Wilson(30) or Freddy Sanchez(30).  Would you be surprised if I told you that Freddy Sanchez is older than Jack Wilson?  Sanchez, in fact, is eight days older than Jack Wilson.  Sanchez has created the illusion of being younger than he is, by having a breakout year (2006) at the age of 28, which is basically the prime of your career.  But, since most people had not heard of him, it gave the impression that he was an up-and-coming ballplayer.  I understand the reasoning of them not planning on trading away Adam LaRoche, because he is still a young position player and would be good fit for that team if played the way he did in 2006.   On the other hand both Wilson and Sanchez are getting past their prime, but still could be considered starting players.  One would say that since third base, shortstop, and second base are weakest positions throughout the Pirates organization, you can’t trade away the starters at your major league level, but do you seriously care when you’re in the Pirates situation?  You’re not winning with Jack Wilson or Freddy Sanchez so trade them away before Sanchez proves he’s a bust and before teams start seeing Jack Wilson as a poor man’s old Omar Vizquel.  Wilson could create interests with numerous teams like the Rays(Jason Bartlett is not a starter), Orioles(neither is Alex Cintron), or Cardinals(we’ll see how good Brendan Ryan really is). Jack Wilson.jpgSome teams are seeing Jack Wilson as a great utility guy and other teams are thinking of him as a starting shortstop. In any case, I think it would be intriguing to let Josh Wilson be the starting shortstop if Jack Wilson somehow moves.  Josh was a guy thought to be a true hitter coming up with the Rockies, but has been blocked by others everywhere he has gone and has struggled in a utility position.  In AAA so far he has a .358 .OBP with four dingers in 68 games. 

    Before the season started, Sanchez’s value would have been much higher, but come on Sanchez’s season has been horrendous and I am not really sure how much the Pirates could get for him, but Sanchez needs to be traded at this year’s deadline, period.  Teams like the White Sox, Cubs, or Indians could trade away some good middle infield prospect away.  Just throwing out some feasible trades in my mind.  Freddy Sanchez to the Cubs for Michael Wuertz, Ronny Cedeno and/or Marquez Smith.  Freddy Sanchez to the Indians for Jensen Lewis, and Wes Hodges(the Indians probably won’t let Hodges get away, so perhaps the Pirates could get Jared Goedert and Josh Rodriguez instead).

    Well, I’m finally done venting, and frankly after using three days to write this post, I’m sick of the Pirates.  I’m done writing about them, unless of course they actually do trade somebody in which case I will analyze it right here on District Boy.  When people say that I’m only thirteen and am spending so much time on studying baseball and I’m obsessed with it, I think this is what they mean(spending three days writing about a team that I don’t care the least about, yet do it anyway because, well…………

    I think I’ll cover the Giants next entry.  (Warning – If you are a fan of Brian Sabean stay away from this blog for at least a week)

Who Will Replace Zambrano?

 I don’t want to give the impression that all I will discuss in this blog is the starting rotations of well-known clubs but usually I am inspired to do research about subjects based on current news.  So in this case, the news that the Cubs placed Carlos Zambrano on the disabled list.  Initally, before the season started I thought the Cubs rotation should be Carlos Zambrano, Ted Lilly, Jason Marquis, Rich Hill, and Sean Marshall and have Sean Gallagher in AAA, with Jon Leiber and Ryan Dempster being in the bullpen.  Well, with Ryan Dempster being the Cubs best starter the whole season and Sean Gallagher doing a solid job in the rotation through ten starts, Rich Hill and Sean Marshall have both been starting in Des Moines, Iowa with the AAA farm club.  Initially when I heard the news about Rich Hill getting sent down I was stunned.  My view of Rich Hill in 2005 was a shaky, young-left hander.  In 2006 he was an OK starter for the Cubs, but in 2007 he was as good as a #2 starter and a part of the Cubs rotation for years to come.  Hill was entering the prime of his career this season, but after only 5 starts in Chicago he was sent down to Triple A.  fS6kisYq.jpgHill was not even that bad in his starts (1-0, 4.12 ERA) but somehow in AAA, Hill hasn’t find his groove so far.  Get ready for ugliness, here are Rich Hill’s Triple A numbers this year in seven starts – 2 wins, 4 losses, and a 5.88 ERA.  Marshall currently is also starting in Iowa and has been much better – 1-1 with a 3.41 ERA in seven starts as well.  The Cubs are one of the best teams in the majors, so one would think that bringing Rich Hill up over Sean Marshall would be too risky for a team on a roll, even if they did just get swept by the Rays.  The possiblility of Rich Hill turning it around after he gets the trust of Jim Hendry and Lou Piniella is there, but Sean Marshall really needs a chance to start in the majors.  He’s turning 26  and has always been the guy “called down to make room for _____ coming off the DL, or “to make room on the roster after the transaction, the Cubs sent down Sean Marshall”  Marshall has been sent to the bullpen numerous times with the Cubs, even though it seems to me that Marshall is much better suited as a starter.  lRwTBEEA.jpgHe has exceptional stamina and the key to his success his mixing his speeds, and deception.  That type of pitcher is better suited to be a starter.  I have to say,  as much as it surprised me to see Rich Hill get sent down, I have to call Sean Marshall up if I’m the Cubs.  I’m not even going to mention the fact that the Cubs have Jon Lieber who could start theoretically.  Theoretically being the key word.  Leiber hasn’t been a solid starter for three years and he is 38 years old.  Don’t change something that’s not broken, yes Cubs, that means keep Jon Lieber in the ‘pen, and hope he can keep up the groove he’s in at this point (3.06 ERA this year, 1.78 ERA in his last ten appearances).

2009 Red Sox Rotation

I know it’s early to be thinking about 2009 starting rotations but with the news about Curt Schilling’s potentially career ending surgery, I started thinking about the Sox’s future rotation.  I think the chances of Theo Epstein resigning Bartolo Colon after this season are slim, and the battle of the last rotation spot seems more and more like it will be between Clay Buchholz and Justin Masterson.  My pick at this point would have to be Clay Buchholz.  First of all, if you look at Buchholz’s career minor league numbers versus Masterson’s ML numbers you have to like what Buchholz could do in 2009.  Buchholz has proven himself at every level in the minors, seems like he could still good work at the major league level this season.  I don’t see Clay being a very good major league starter until next year.  On the other hand, Masterson has seemingly breezed through the minors and posted great numbers in his first six starts with the Red Sox.  If you look closely at Masterson’s numbers you will see he REALLY went through the minors.  He started with Lancaster (High A) and did well in the hitter-friendly league.  He got called up to AA Portland and did absolutely phenomenal in his first four starts, but tailed off and ended with average numbers: 4-3, 4.34 in 10 starts. mastersonPIX.jpg

The Red Sox had Masterson start this year back in Portland, and once again had average numbers, 1-3, 4.28 in 8 starts.  After one start in AAA, Masterson got called up to Fenway and has made people forget how unspectacular he was in the minors. Masterson reminds of another sinkerball pitcher who was a rookie last year, Kyle Kendrick.  Kendrick was an essential piece of the Phillies run last year, but this year had tailed off to the tune of 5.06 ERA.   I don’t see how the Red Sox could keep Buchholz out of the rotation next year.  clay-buchholz.jpgHere are Buchholz’s minor league numbers: Double A – 16-6, 2.23 ERA with 189.2 innings pitched in 36 starts.  Triple A – 1-4 3.78 with 54.2 innings pitched in 12 starts.  The AAA numbers are not ace like, but I like what will Clay be able to do in his sixth professional season.  I see at least a number four starter in him next year.  After that, him and Beckett will be great at the top at the rotation.  I like a future Red Sox rotation of Josh Beckett, Daisuke Matsuzaka, Clay Buchholz, John Lester and Michael Bowden/Nick Hagadone .   Just in case you are wondering here are Hagadone’s (the Red Sox first draft  pick in 2007) numbers in the minors since he has been drafted:  2-1, 1.31 ERA with 34.1 innings pitched in 13 starts split with Low A and A ball.  OK, I’m done with this entry and hopefully I’ll be back blogging about some other team besides the Red Sox.  And just in case you have not seen it yet: copy and past this URL to the address bar: http://mlb.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20080620&content_id=2969030&vkey=news_mlb&fext=.jsp&c_id=mlb

Entry #1

  Well, let me first introduce myself, I’m Aaron and this is District Boy Blog.   Although, I’m from D.C. I’m an avid New York Mets fan.   In this blog I’ll just talk some random baseball issues and occasional entries about the baseball games I attend.

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.